Prediction: Villarreal vs Napoli
Villarreal and Napoli will meet at the Estadio de la Ceramica on Tuesday, October 13, in the second round of the Champions League league phase. Kickoff is scheduled for 9pm CEST.
Both teams are looking for their first points. Villarreal lost 3-2 at Borussia Dortmund in its opening match, while Napoli suffered a 1-0 home defeat against Arsenal.
Verdict: Napoli or draw
Best odds: 7/10
Bookmaker: 1xBet
Villarreal
Villarreal has shown signs of improvement, although the results have yet to provide much reassurance.
Inigo Perez’s team finally found some momentum before the international break, beating Malaga and Levante 3-1 in consecutive league matches. Those performances suggested that its attacking combinations were beginning to work.
However, the return to action brought a 1-0 defeat at Real Madrid on Saturday.
There was plenty to like about Villarreal’s performance at the Bernabeu. It stayed competitive, created opportunities and continued to look for an equalizer late in the match.
Perez’s assessment after the defeat focused on the finishing that prevented his team from getting a better result.
That issue could be important again on Tuesday.
Napoli should make it difficult for Villarreal to find space close to goal. The hosts will need their forwards to be decisive when chances arrive, particularly if the visitors settle into a compact defensive shape.
Alberto Moleiro can help by receiving the ball between midfield and defense. Pape Gueye’s forward runs offer another way to occupy defenders and create room for the attacking players.
The European record adds pressure. Villarreal has gone 12 Champions League matches without a victory, with the defeat in Dortmund extending a disappointing sequence.
Scoring twice in Germany showed that Villarreal can threaten at this level. It now needs a more complete performance, with better protection when an attack breaks down.
Villarreal Team News
Tajon Buchanan is unavailable with a hamstring injury.
Nicolas Pepe is also a doubt because of an eye problem, leaving Perez with questions over his options in wide areas.
According to the latest team news, the attacking selection remains open, with Ayoze Perez, Georges Mikautadze and Tani Oluwaseyi competing for places.
Peter Gulacsi should continue in goal, while Pau Navarro and Renato Veiga are options in central defense.
Santi Comesana and Gueye should be important in midfield, particularly when Villarreal needs to recover possession and prevent Napoli from breaking forward.
Ilias Akhomach and Moleiro could take on greater creative responsibility if Pepe is unable to feature.
Napoli arrives with a more encouraging recent run.
Massimiliano Allegri’s team has collected seven points from its last three Serie A matches, beating Bologna 1-0, drawing 1-1 at Fiorentina and returning from the international break with a 3-0 victory over Frosinone.
Conceding only once across those matches suggests that Napoli is beginning to find greater defensive stability.
The win against Frosinone also provided an attacking boost, with Kevin De Bruyne scoring twice.
His influence could be particularly valuable in Spain. Villarreal will want to press and establish territory, but De Bruyne has the passing range to move the ball beyond that pressure and bring Rasmus Hojlund into the game.
Napoli should also have opportunities when Villarreal’s wide defenders advance. Hojlund’s movement into those spaces could force the home defense to retreat and give the midfield more time on the ball.
There are still reasons for caution.
Napoli offered very little going forward against Arsenal in its Champions League opener. Allegri will need a more effective response if Villarreal prevents his team from building attacks comfortably.
The away record in this competition is another concern. Napoli has gone six Champions League away matches without a win, losing five of them.
That makes the double chance market appealing. Napoli’s recent improvement gives it a reasonable opportunity to take something from this game, while the draw remains a realistic outcome between two teams still trying to find consistency.
Napoli Team News
Napoli has several absences to manage.
Alessandro Buongiorno, Mathias Olivera, Alisson Santos, Antonio Vergara and Costantino Favasuli are expected to miss the trip through injury.
Frank Anguissa remains a doubt as he works back from a thigh problem. The latest injury report identifies him as a possible late addition, depending on his response to training.
Luca Marianucci and Giovane are unavailable because they were not included in Napoli’s UEFA squad.
Scott McTominay returned at the weekend and could have a greater role here. Alex Meret also returned against Frosinone and should be in contention to continue in goal.
Amir Rrahmani, Rafa Marin and Benoit Badiashile provide central defensive options, while De Bruyne and Hojlund should be important to Napoli’s attacking plans.
Villarreal vs Napoli key factors to consider
- Both teams lost their opening Champions League match.
- Villarreal was beaten 3-2 at Borussia Dortmund.
- Napoli lost 1-0 at home to Arsenal.
- Villarreal has gone 12 Champions League matches without a victory.
- Napoli has collected seven points from its last three Serie A games.
- Napoli has conceded only once across those three matches.
- Kevin De Bruyne scored twice in Saturday’s 3-0 win over Frosinone.
- Villarreal is without Tajon Buchanan, while Nicolas Pepe remains a doubt.
- Napoli has gone six Champions League away matches without a win.
Conclusion
Villarreal’s performance at Real Madrid suggests that the home side is capable of making this difficult. Its two league victories before the break also showed improvement in attack.
However, Napoli has put together a steadier run and arrives after a convincing weekend result.
The visitors’ injury problems and poor recent away record in Europe make an outright victory harder to support. There is still enough quality available to compete in midfield, threaten through De Bruyne and Hojlund, and keep Villarreal from controlling the match throughout.
A close contest looks likely, with Napoli capable of leaving Spain with at least a point.
Napoli or draw is the best selection.
Verdict: Napoli or draw
Best odds: 7/10
Bookmaker: 1xBet
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