Fantasy Football: Notable ADP risers and fallers as of August 11

In the modern age, when most fantasy football drafts occur online, we take Average Draft Position (ADP) for granted. It’s built into the site itself, providing a roadmap for the entire fantasy community’s consensus and heavily dictating the players most managers draft … and when they draft them.

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However, like rankings, ADP changes over time, and it’s important to know why. If a running back is climbing in drafts just before you’re on the clock, it helps to understand the reasons … and maybe to reach an extra round to snag him. If a tight end is plummeting in ADP, you might want to second-guess taking him “at a value” if there are valid concerns at play.

How do you navigate these shifting sands? With this column, of course! I’ll be highlighting the most notable risers and fallers in Yahoo ADP on a week-by-week basis to keep you informed and advised!

Let’s get started.

Biggest ADP Risers

Honorable Mentions

Rhamondre Stevenson has bumped up a few spots this past week amid reports that TreVeyon Henderson continues to struggle in pass protection and comments from Josh Norris and Hayden Winks detailing how Stevenson belongs right next to Henderson in ADP. I’ve loved Stevenson as a value all summer and would continue picking him in the seventh round … Parker Washington and Josh Downs have been steadily gaining hype and climbing up draft boards, and I couldn’t agree more. They’re two of my favorite wide receiver values in the middle rounds … There’s still a way to go before Cam Ward reaches relevant draft range (currently at 150.9), but I like him as a sleeper late-round QB and believe a strong camp/preseason could bump him up a couple more rounds.

3. De’Zhaun Stribling, San Francisco 49ers, WR (ADP ↑ 3.6)

It’s a relatively small climb for rookie wide receiver De’Zhaun Stribling … so far. But with the loss of Ricky Pearsall (knee) and the practice absences of both Mike Evans (quad) and Christian Kirk (calf), Stribling is becoming an interesting name to monitor. The 49ers reached pretty heavily to draft him at 33rd overall (the second pick of the second round), with head coach Kyle Shanahan and GM John Lynch raving about his size-speed combo, hands, physicality and contributions in the run game.

Evans turns 33 this month and has shown definite signs of aging, Kirk hasn’t been fantasy relevant since 2022, Brandon Aiyuk is essentially off the roster. It’s gotten so bad in the shadow of Santa Clara’s infamous electrical power station that the team went and signed Deebo Samuel Sr. (for $4.1 million), who’s unsurprisingly an ADP riser of his own.

Stribling needs a lot to fall his way to post a breakout rookie season, but several of those dominoes are already leaning. And Brock Purdy posts absurdly efficient numbers in Shanahan’s system, so Stribling could make an impact on just 80 or 90 targets … which grows more feasible by the day.

2. Malik Nabers, New York Giants, WR (ADP ↑ 5.3)

Honestly, even after a five-spot rise this past week, Malik Nabers’ ADP is absolute nonsense. Yes, he tore his ACL last season … in September. These recovery timelines aren’t what they used to be, and I’d have optimistic expectations for a 23-year-old nearly 11 months later regardless. But with reports flowing out of camp that Nabers avoided the PUP list, looks great and is tracking to start Week 1 … it’s all systems go. Matt Harmon and Hayden Winks highlighted him as one of the most mispriced players in fantasy last month, and I agree again. 

Consider how his first 18 career games — before the Week 4 injury — stack up historically. His 202 targets are the most in the recorded history of the stat. His 125 receptions are second to Odell Beckham Jr. His 264.2 fantasy points trail just OBJ, Ja’Marr Chase and Randy Moss over the past 30 years. He’s an absolutely elite WR1 and has less competition (with Wan’Dale Robinson in Tennessee) and potentially better QB play (with Jaxson Dart) than he’s enjoyed to date.

Even baking in the risk of a “slow start” following his recovery, Nabers’ ADP shouldn’t be this low. Don’t be surprised if it keeps climbing from the back of the third to the back of the second (where I’d still take him).

1. Stefon Diggs, Washington Commanders, WR (ADP ↑ 14.8)

This one doesn’t require much explanation. After remaining a free agent for months, Stefon Diggs finally signed with the Washington Commanders on a one-year deal worth up to $12 million. That immediately takes him from teamless question mark in the double-digit rounds to Jayden Daniels’ No. 2 target in the DMV (where Diggs grew up).

The 32-year-old finished as the WR17 in New England last year, with 85 catches for 1,013 yards. Moreover, he averaged 2.4 yards per route run, trailing only Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Zay Flowers and Amon-Ra St. Brown among all players with 300+ routes.

In other words? He’s still a reliable and productive receiver who will probably be somewhat overlooked due to age and some (settled) off-the-field issues. Even after jumping up into the 10th round, Diggs is still a value in my book; I think there’s a non-zero chance he sees more targets and catches than Terry McLaurin in 2026. And even if he doesn’t, low triple-digit targets feels extremely doable and could translate to high-end WR3 or low-end WR2 numbers again. Expect this ADP to keep climbing as the fantasy community adjusts.

Biggest ADP Fallers

3. Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers, RB (ADP ↓ 4.0)

There have been rumblings all summer that if Jonathon Brooks is healthy in Carolina this year, he’d be expected to lead the backfield over Chuba Hubbard. It looks like, with Brooks practicing and flashing in training camp, the fantasy community is starting to believe those reports. And it makes sense. The Panthers drafted Brooks 46th overall — that’s Jonathan Taylor range, by the way — in 2024 to be a focal point of their budding young offense. Unfortunately, multiple knee injuries completely derailed the start of Brooks’ NFL career, so we’ve watched Hubbard (and Rico Dowdle) impress in his absence. 

And before you say, “They’ve paid Hubbard too much money to sideline him,” remember what happened after the Dowdle breakout halfway through the 2025 season? Hubbard is a solid player who will remain involved in the offense, possibly even as a 1B to Brooks. But he’s slipping down the ranks of those committee backfields, behind Jaylen Warren, Rhamondre Stevenson and possibly Tony Pollard (soon). If possible, I’d much rather plan my draft to be taking wide receivers in this range (like Parker Washington and Carnell Tate) and avoiding Hubbard unless he drops a round or two.

2. Omar Cooper Jr., New York Jets, WR (ADP ↓ 5.9)

I think the fact that Omar Cooper Jr. is a somewhat unheralded rookie is more responsible for his fall than anything else. More “casual” fans, who may not be familiar with the 2026 draft class, are returning to fantasy and affecting the ADP data after months of mostly best ball degenerates.

“But Okada, Stribling was a rookie too and he’s on the rise!” True, but Stribling has very specific extenuating circumstances. Cooper, as far as I can tell, does not.

He was drafted three spots ahead of Stribling after an excellent year with the National Champion Indiana Hoosiers. And as a bigger, stronger body with excellent YAC skills, he’s an excellent complement to Garrett Wilson, who’s essentially his only target competition in New York. Even before this dip, Cooper was going in the 14th round, which basically makes him a free dart throw with easily justifiable upside. Perhaps it will take a few more highlight catches in camp for fantasy drafters to take notice … but in the meantime, I’d be snatching him as a late-round sleeper.

1. Makai Lemon, Philadelphia Eagles, WR (ADP ↓ 7.5)

While Makai Lemon may also be suffering a bit of the “rookie unknown” dip I described with Cooper, his drop in ADP is probably much more indicative of his lingering hamstring injury. Lemon has missed several practices in a crucial window of the offseason, and soft-tissue injuries at this time of year give me the heebie jeebies. The chances that Lemon misses time, starts slow and/or re-aggravates the injury throughout the year are all increasingly high. And those flags — be they yellow, red or somewhat orangeish — are making it harder to consider him in the single-digit rounds.

Given the opportunity in Philadelphia with A.J. Brown gone and DeVonta Smith dealing with a hamstring injury, as well as Lemon’s draft capital (20th overall, and often mocked higher), the rookie clearly has fantasy upside. Were he healthy and thriving in camp amid Smith’s absence, we might be seeing him rise up draft boards.

He’s worth watching for that reason, and could easily end up being a draft value by midseason. But for now, Lemon’s ADP arrow will likely remain red until he gets healthy.